Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.001997 0.002136 0.002281 0.002443 0.002618 0.002804 0.003014
2024-12-22 0.001787 0.001981 0.002191 0.002436 0.002715 0.003023 0.003391
2024-12-29 0.001624 0.001850 0.002103 0.002408 0.002769 0.003183 0.003697
2025-01-05 0.001503 0.001751 0.002036 0.002390 0.002822 0.003333 0.003991
2025-01-12 0.001390 0.001650 0.001955 0.002343 0.002829 0.003421 0.004205
2025-01-19 0.001308 0.001578 0.001902 0.002323 0.002862 0.003537 0.004456
2025-01-26 0.001203 0.001470 0.001797 0.002230 0.002795 0.003517 0.004524
2025-02-02 0.001178 0.001462 0.001814 0.002290 0.002925 0.003755 0.004945
2025-02-09 0.001148 0.001443 0.001816 0.002329 0.003027 0.003960 0.005330
2025-02-16 0.001145 0.001459 0.001863 0.002428 0.003213 0.004287 0.005906
2025-02-23 0.001104 0.001422 0.001837 0.002426 0.003259 0.004420 0.006209
2025-03-02 0.001047 0.001362 0.001776 0.002373 0.003230 0.004443 0.006349
2025-03-09 0.000998 0.001313 0.001734 0.002351 0.003252 0.004555 0.006652
2025-03-16 0.000959 0.001277 0.001708 0.002350 0.003306 0.004718 0.007049
2025-03-23 0.000916 0.001233 0.001668 0.002325 0.003322 0.004825 0.007364
2025-03-30 0.000879 0.001194 0.001634 0.002309 0.003349 0.004948 0.007713
2025-04-06 0.000836 0.001146 0.001584 0.002264 0.003328 0.004994 0.007934
2025-04-13 0.000803 0.001112 0.001552 0.002245 0.003346 0.005101 0.008267
2025-04-20 0.000754 0.001050 0.001477 0.002155 0.003247 0.005011 0.008245
2025-04-27 0.000747 0.001052 0.001496 0.002213 0.003387 0.005324 0.008970
2025-05-04 0.000735 0.001045 0.001502 0.002250 0.003496 0.005591 0.009629
2025-05-11 0.000739 0.001061 0.001543 0.002345 0.003706 0.006046 0.010687
2025-05-18 0.000718 0.001040 0.001526 0.002343 0.003750 0.006212 0.011197